Since I’m just a ‘Field Filler’ (but NOT a Whacker!) during this First Segment, I
thought I’d try sumpin’!
Decided to try being the "Mr. Reverse Random" using Marty’s Fearless Forecast!
I suspect some of these will fall dangerously close to the edge of the Gimme
Gulch…but it’s all just for giggles, anyhoo!
;->
<edits are enclosed in pair of asterisks>
1. GB #16 will finish 31st or *higher*.
2. CE #99 finish *ahead of* JGreen in the #43 Cheerios Dodge.
3. ES #38 will *not* finish 7th or higher.
4. JS #09 will *not* finish between 30th to 38th.
5. TR #192 will finish *behind* the #12 car.
Bonus: there will *not* be zero Fords in the top 10.
Tom in Bristol
On Sat, 14 May 2005 11:46:21 CST, "Tom Duwe" <tom…@bvunet.net> wrote:
>Decided to try being the "Mr. Reverse Random" using Marty’s Fearless Forecast!
>I suspect some of these will fall dangerously close to the edge of the Gimme
>Gulch…but it’s all just for giggles, anyhoo!
No problem.
I’m planning to give Mr. Random a severe lecture about his
prognostications ennaways.
[By the way, are things working OK for you? Did your
ISP get his system set up right? Any tips to add to
the "Missing Posts Page"?]
Marty
"Tom Duwe" <tom…@bvunet.net> wrote in message
news:000001c558a4$62ac7f80$6700a8c0@thomasrzr6s4la…
- Hide quoted text — Show quoted text -
> Since I’m just a ‘Field Filler’ (but NOT a Whacker!) during this First
Segment, I
> thought I’d try sumpin’!
> Decided to try being the "Mr. Reverse Random" using Marty’s Fearless
Forecast!
> I suspect some of these will fall dangerously close to the edge of the
Gimme
> Gulch…but it’s all just for giggles, anyhoo!
> ;->
> <edits are enclosed in pair of asterisks>
> 1. GB #16 will finish 31st or *higher*.
> 2. CE #99 finish *ahead of* JGreen in the #43 Cheerios Dodge.
> 3. ES #38 will *not* finish 7th or higher.
> 4. JS #09 will *not* finish between 30th to 38th.
> 5. TR #192 will finish *behind* the #12 car.
> Bonus: there will *not* be zero Fords in the top 10.
> Tom in Bristol
1, 3, 4, and 5 are gimmies, because they are all more likely than not to
occur. 2 is questionable, I’ll leave it to peer review. Your bonus is not
approprirate, it’s been true most of the time and not worth bonus points, in
fact I’d call it a gimmie prediction.
-Russ.
On 15 May 2005 00:00:01 GMT, "Somebody" <someb…@nospam.russdoucet.com> wrote:
>1, 3, 4, and 5 are gimmies, because they are all more likely than not to
>occur. 2 is questionable, I’ll leave it to peer review.
2 is a gimme, too. Carl Edwards should beat the Cheerios Dodge
handily.
>Your bonus is not
>approprirate, it’s been true most of the time and not worth bonus points, in
>fact I’d call it a gimmie prediction.
No doubt about it.
BUT–Tom is playing "Fantasy RPG." It’s a new game. He’s just
imagining what it would be like to negatize all of Mr. Random’s
predictions.
Tom knew the gimme police would be after him. ;o)
Marty
"Somebody" <someb…@nospam.russdoucet.com> wrote in
news:ugwhe.5859$5u4.20313@nnrp1.uunet.ca:
> 1, 3, 4, and 5 are gimmies, because they are all more likely than not
> to occur.
Not to get into the issue of Tom’s picks, but "because they are more
likely than not to occur" isn’t a very good definition for a gimme.
There’s nothing wrong (IMHO) with making a pick that’s got a 60% or
70% likelyhood of occuring (e.g. "Gordon will get a top 10"). Gimmies
are the picks that are almost certain to be true.
John
On Sun, 15 May 2005 19:34:54 CST, John McCoy <igop…@ix.netcom.com> wrote:
>"Somebody" <someb…@nospam.russdoucet.com> wrote in
>news:ugwhe.5859$5u4.20313@nnrp1.uunet.ca:
>> 1, 3, 4, and 5 are gimmies, because they are all more likely than not
>> to occur.
>Not to get into the issue of Tom’s picks, but "because they are more
>likely than not to occur" isn’t a very good definition for a gimme.
>There’s nothing wrong (IMHO) with making a pick that’s got a 60% or
>70% likelyhood of occuring (e.g. "Gordon will get a top 10"). Gimmies
>are the picks that are almost certain to be true.
I’ve argued for a relaxation of the gimme rule, too.
This is a tough game to play. Even when you pick the
favorites, they don’t always run to form.
"The race is not always to the swift nor battle to
the strong–but that’s the way to bet." ;o)
Marty