> NO MORE MIXED MESSAGES!  I HAVE A PLAN! (several of them, different ones, all
> covering the same topic!)

> 1. 4 of the top 5 and 8 of the top 10 are Bowties

2 and 6 … -1

> 2. Top Ford is #38

DJ!  YOU SANDBAGGER!  -1

> 3. DJ finishes out of the top 15

see above … -1

> 4. The winner did not take the white flag first

jr jr jr …  -1

> 5. No BIG one (>10 cars involved)

WoHOO   +1

> 6. <= 3 yellows (one of them will be a "debris" caution)

lap 29, lap 61, lap 122, lap 142, lap 177? … -1

> 7. JG extends his points lead, 8 and 48 move up, 97 moves back

-1

> Bonus pick …

> IN THIS RACE ONLY, Kerry finishes on the lead lap and Busch does not.  Busch
> doesn’t finish and the Army and the National Guard finish in consecutive
> positions (01/16 or 16/01).

Joe gets 8, Biffle gets 28, Kerry is on the lead lap in 24, Busch is in 5th
(also on the lead lap) … 0

-5 on 7 trys

Unofficial race results do not reflect any post-race changes, such as penalties,
which may be levied by NASCAR.   Maybe the official results will save my bacon.

– Jeff
currently in the White Mountains of NH

news:2jqdnTe_4I3ilMPcUSdV9g@ptd.net…

> 6. <= 3 yellows (one of them will be a "debris" caution)

I have a *little* trouble with this.  You submitted 7 picks though, so I’m
inclined to let it go through.  Normally, saying that there will be <= 3
cautions, is probably about a 30% to 50% chance of being right, not quite a
gimmie but not really in the spirit of the game.  Having 0, 1, 2, or 3
cautions probably characterises about half of the last half dozen Dega
races.  However, since you’re said that one of them will be a debris
caution, as opposed to saying "at least one of them", I’ll let it go without
further complaint.  With that addition, it’s what I call a good pick.

I like the rest of your picks.  Thanks for playing WW!

-Russ.

- Hide quoted text — Show quoted text -

> "WildWeasel" wrote …

>> 6. <= 3 yellows (one of them will be a "debris" caution)

> I have a *little* trouble with this.  You submitted 7 picks though, so I’m
> inclined to let it go through.  Normally, saying that there will be <= 3
> cautions, is probably about a 30% to 50% chance of being right, not quite a
> gimmie but not really in the spirit of the game.  Having 0, 1, 2, or 3
> cautions probably characterises about half of the last half dozen Dega
> races.  However, since you’re said that one of them will be a debris
> caution, as opposed to saying "at least one of them", I’ll let it go without
> further complaint.  With that addition, it’s what I call a good pick.

> I like the rest of your picks.  Thanks for playing WW!

Thank YOU, Russ.  The pre/post discussion really makes it!

You may be right.  I ALMOST went with suspicious debris caution, that was the
mood I was thinking in at the time.  Oh, what the heck, it’ll be at least
questionable and SOME might suggest a
"bunch-up-the-strung-out-field-and-try-to-make-this-boring-race-exciting-competition-caution".

That better?

– Jeff

> I’ve had a real "John Kerry moment" with this race.  I’m all over the map …

NO MORE MIXED MESSAGES!  I HAVE A PLAN! (several of them, different ones, all
covering the same topic!)

1. 4 of the top 5 and 8 of the top 10 are Bowties
2. Top Ford is #38
3. DJ finishes out of the top 15
4. The winner did not take the white flag first
5. No BIG one (>10 cars involved)
6. <= 3 yellows (one of them will be a "debris" caution)
7. JG extends his points lead, 8 and 48 move up, 97 moves back

Bonus pick …

IN THIS RACE ONLY, Kerry finishes on the lead lap and Busch does not.  Busch
doesn’t finish and the Army and the National Guard finish in consecutive
positions (01/16 or 16/01).

Nicely characterized without going too off-topic, BUT
why leave us in suspense of yore point’s-winning prediction?
Cru-laff

>"WildWeasel" <wweasel…@HooYah.com> wrote in message news:KI-dnTBchK3KHMDcUSdV9g@ptd.net…
>> I’ve had a real "John Kerry moment" with this race.  I’m all over the map with
>> my predictions and have been quiet and deep in thought (that wasn’t sleeping, it
>> was thought).  But I’m about to come out with a clear, consistent message that I
>> am sure the other members of the mod alliance will laugh at, er, get behind
>> (hopefully WAY behind).
>> Stay tuned.
>> — Jeff
>Nicely characterized without going too off-topic, BUT
>why leave us in suspense of yore point’s-winning prediction?

He doesn’t know what he thinks.

I’ve had the same feeling.  This is a tough game.  I go to
Jayski’s and nascar.com to help stimulate the old ESP
juices.

                                Marty

>I’ve had a real "John Kerry moment" with this race.  I’m all over the map with
>my predictions and have been quiet and deep in thought (that wasn’t sleeping, it
>was thought).  But I’m about to come out with a clear, consistent message that I
>am sure the other members of the mod alliance will laugh at, er, get behind
>(hopefully WAY behind).

No problem.

I don’t have any confidence in my predictions–why should I
give yours any respect?  :-P

                                        Marty