1. Elliot Sadler will win —– 7% STD
2. Dale Jr will finish out of the top 10 —– 39% STD
3. Jeff Gordon will finish out of the top 10 —– 28% STD
4. Tony Stewart will finish in the top 5 —– 32% STD
5. Kasey Khane will finish second —– 18% STD
6. Hermie Sadler will qualify —– 36% STD
7. Hermie Sadler will finish —– 11% STD
8. Mark Martin will DNF —– 7% STD
Odds of having them all correct —– 0.000013%
STD = Season to Date.
Malcolm
"You can’t fool me, it’s turtles all the way down."
On Thu, 30 Sep 2004 18:48:09 CST, "Typhoon News User"
<n…@nbnet.nb.ca> wrote:
>Odds of having them all correct —– 0.000013%
Who let this statistical genius into the group?
Good luck, and if you score a +8, we’ll all be in awe!
Marty
"Typhoon News User" wrote …
> 1. Elliot Sadler will win —– 7% STD
> 2. Dale Jr will finish out of the top 10 —– 39% STD
Considering the track, I think this deserves a recalc. 1st at Daytona, 2nd at
Taladaga 1, 3rd at Daytona 2 … seems outside the top 5 is 0% STD
> 3. Jeff Gordon will finish out of the top 10 —– 28% STD
8th, 1st, 1st …
> 4. Tony Stewart will finish in the top 5 —– 32% STD
> 5. Kasey Khane will finish second —– 18% STD
> 6. Hermie Sadler will qualify —– 36% STD
> 7. Hermie Sadler will finish —– 11% STD
> 8. Mark Martin will DNF —– 7% STD
> Odds of having them all correct —– 0.000013%
Priceless
- Hide quoted text — Show quoted text -
> STD = Season to Date.
> Malcolm
> "You can’t fool me, it’s turtles all the way down."
"WildWeasel" <wweasel…@HooYah.com> wrote in message
news:gr-cnVKbqpusNMHcUSdV9g@ptd.net…
> "Typhoon News User" wrote …
>> 1. Elliot Sadler will win —– 7% STD
>> 2. Dale Jr will finish out of the top 10 —– 39% STD
> Considering the track, I think this deserves a recalc. 1st at Daytona,
> 2nd at Taladaga 1, 3rd at Daytona 2 … seems outside the top 5 is 0% STD
You do have a point here but I was simply calculating percentages on the
season overall, not taking into account which track they were/are racing at.
I could have been pickier but this really is just for fun.
Malcolm,
- Hide quoted text — Show quoted text -
>> 3. Jeff Gordon will finish out of the top 10 —– 28% STD
> 8th, 1st, 1st …
>> 4. Tony Stewart will finish in the top 5 —– 32% STD
>> 5. Kasey Khane will finish second —– 18% STD
>> 6. Hermie Sadler will qualify —– 36% STD
>> 7. Hermie Sadler will finish —– 11% STD
>> 8. Mark Martin will DNF —– 7% STD
>> Odds of having them all correct —– 0.000013%
I miscalculated this one too.
It is actually 0.0002%.
- Hide quoted text — Show quoted text -
> Priceless
>> STD = Season to Date.
>> Malcolm
>> "You can’t fool me, it’s turtles all the way down."
"WildWeasel" <wweasel…@HooYah.com> wrote in
news:gr-cnVKbqpusNMHcUSdV9g@ptd.net:
> "Typhoon News User" wrote …
>> 1. Elliot Sadler will win —– 7% STD
>> 2. Dale Jr will finish out of the top 10 —– 39% STD
> Considering the track, I think this deserves a recalc. 1st at
> Daytona, 2nd at Taladaga 1, 3rd at Daytona 2 … seems outside the top
> 5 is 0% STD
I was thinking the same thing – the last 6 Dega races, Earnhardt
has 4 wins and 2 seconds, so I think the statistics are a tad
skewed for this track.
Of course, since almost all the rest of us seem to have picked
either Earnhardt or Gordon to win, Malcom’s really going to be
sitting pretty if he’s right :-)
John
1. Elliot Sadler will win —– -1
2. Dale Jr will finish out of the top 10 —– -1
3. Jeff Gordon will finish out of the top 10 —– +1
4. Tony Stewart will finish in the top 5 —– -1
5. Kasey Khane will finish second —– -1
6. Hermie Sadler will qualify —– +1
7. Hermie Sadler will finish —– +1
8. Mark Martin will DNF —– -1
Malcolm
"You can’t fool me, it’s turtles all the way down."